Now that the Democratic and Republican conventions are over, and the presidential debates aren’t for another month, you may be eagerly wondering what the candidates will be doing in the meantime. At least, those of you who are stuck at home watching TV because you couldn’t afford to go to the Rio Olympics. With 100 days to go until the election, the candidates will take their fight to the battleground swing states: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Colorado to name a few. Win these and you’d be over a quarter of the way to the White House; lose any of them and your path to Electoral College victory becomes much narrower. Jobs and the economy will be the key messages that both candidates will try to sell in these places, but given how unpopular the two candidates are, just how successful will they be?
Donald Trump’s inexplicable appeal to white working-class voters in say, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, could potentially reshape the election map, but Hillary Clinton is stronger with growing Hispanic and African American communities, giving her potential openings in traditionally red states such as Arizona and Georgia. Florida is a focal point because of a simple fact: if Clinton wins, she then only needs to win traditional Democratic states to win the presidency – and Trump has already likely alienated most of the large Hispanic population there.
The race represents a common theme: change versus status quo. Funnily enough Bill Clinton and Barack Obama both represented change, but Hillary’s quarter-century Washington background makes it difficult for her to send the same message, especially up against businessman and anti-establishment candidate Trump. All of the swing states are already inundated with her TV ads and her campaign staffers knocking on doors. Millions of dollars, a clear strategy and a strong ground game is the difference between winning and losing, and by those measures, Clinton is pretty much the Usain Bolt of politics. So you may think Trump has zero chance at this point, BUT… Hillary is super unpopular too, and there’s a looong way to go until November. Keep calm and go for gold.
Feel that the race to the White House is more grueling than the Olympics? Movie for your mood: Chariots of Fire