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    POLIBRIEF

    © 2017 by Polibrief

    Brexit as Trumpism

    June 25, 2016

    There may be no point in crying over spilled tea, but plenty of British citizens are crying over this week’s shock Brexit vote and asking the all-important questions that everyone wants to know the answers to, like will the UK compete in the next Eurovision contest and will James Bond’s travel privileges be revoked? On the other side of the Atlantic US politicians were quick to point out the good, the bad and the ugly consequences of the UK’s messy divorce from the EU, and what it means for the American election. But is there really a link between Britain’s angry Leavers and Donald Trump’s angry followers?

     

    Short answer, yes. Distrust of the establishment, anger towards the government and fear of the unknown has risen to unprecedented levels in both countries, and the divide between and within population and parliament is stark. Allowing that divide to become concrete in the form of a rushed and fear-driven referendum is not only damaging but potentially irreversible. And the fact is that the consequences of the UK leaving the EU can’t be overstated. The world economy has taken a bad blow, global trade, travel and immigration policies with the UK are on shaky ground, and the institution of the European Union is seriously weakened; all of which will have a significant impact on the US and its policies.

     

    So what does this mean for the presidential candidates? Frankly, Hillary Clinton should be scared. As in running for the hills to escape the angry mob with burning torches scared. Brexit is a very clear indication that any assumption that she has this election in the bag is foolish, no matter what the latest polls say. This result should jolt the Democrats out of any complacency they feel about Trump’s campaign because despite all evidence to the contrary, his unorthodox methods are working. Fortunately for Clinton this wakeup call is early enough that she can adjust her campaign towards something better than ‘at least she’s not Trump’, leaving less chance for her to regrexit.

     

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