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    POLIBRIEF

    © 2017 by Polibrief

    Runaway Train

    April 27, 2016

    After the results of this week’s “Acela” primary (which included Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware and Rhode Island) it’s getting harder to argue with the nation’s clear preference for their presidential nominees. Combined with last week’s results from New York, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton didn’t just consolidate their leads, they are barreling ahead at full steam. Clinton’s night was a clear success with four more states choo-choo-choosing her as their pick, ceding only Rhode Island to Bernie Sanders. And with a five-state clean sweep Trump is plainly reveling in his popularity, calling himself the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party. So is there any hope at the end of the tunnel for Sanders, Cruz or Kasich, or should they all stop in their tracks and pack it in?

     

    Considering their delegate numbers, consistent polling and consecutive voting wins in almost all demographic areas, Trump and Clinton can be justifiably considered as the presumptive nominees of their parties. Faced with the now very real possibility of a Trump nomination the GOP is getting more anxious, especially when Trump says to expect more a ‘presidential’ tone in future; his unpredictability could be more dangerous for the party than his overt brand of brash conservatism. The question becomes will the party elites follow their base or will the base follow their leaders? Ted Cruz and John Kasich don’t want to go down without a fight despite being mathematically locked out of the nomination, so in a desperate scheme worthy of Frank Underwood they told everyone they were spread too thin and had mutually decided not to campaign in every state. Cue money flow stopped. But the hastily planned and publicly stated #NeverTrump alliance fell apart quicker than a Britney Spears Las Vegas marriage and it is back to every candidate for themselves.

     

    So the next stop is Indiana (spoiler alert: you’ll be hearing the word “Hoosier” a whole lot more) where Cruz has staked his success on controversial VP pick Carly Fiorina: the unpopular, politically inexperienced businesswoman whose face was subjected to a lot of Trump bashing. And despite Sanders repeatedly insisting that he is in the race to the very end, his recent downsizing of hundreds of staffers shows that his campaign may be faltering in its fundraising in light of a much narrower path to victory. One thing’s for sure, both parties are pretty evenly split between their candidates and steps need to be taken to ensure that everyone hops on board to support their eventual nominees.

     

    Never been on a high speed train before? It’s killer. Movie for your mood: Mission Impossible

     

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