The Republican front runner is likely to fall short of the magic number of delegates needed to win the nomination before the convention (recap: 1,237 is half plus one of the total delegates available). But that won’t stop an overconfident Trump from insisting that the magic number is more like a guideline rather than an actual rule. But saying that the winner should be whoever is close enough to that number is the equivalent of moving the finish line in the middle of a race, which would set a dangerous precedent for Republicans. The nominee is meant to be the person who has persuaded a majority of the party that they stand for the best interests of the party – something Trump has yet to do convincingly.
Contrary to popular belief, brokered and contested conventions are actually two different things (the former refers to backroom negotiations with senior party members; the latter refers to delegates voting at the convention) but all you really need to know is that if there’s no decisive winner by the time the convention rolls around, Trump is very unlikely to become the Chosen One, hence his current desperate attempts to be declared the winner before he even crosses the finish line.
Trump’s reasoning of course is that Republicans are choosing him, as evidenced by all the delegates he has won so far, and challenging that choice would in effect be stealing his crown. Cue a temper tantrum, ugly crying and smudged mascara. But in reality winning 40% ish of a vote and thus gaining the majority of delegates allotted is hardly an overwhelming majority, and in fact points to a 60% rejection rate, only slightly better than The Bachelor. So despite Trump’s vague references to riots, Republicans should follow convention (pun intended) and nominate someone who actually represents the best of what the GOP has to offer. After all, rules are rules so if it ain’t brokered, don’t fix it.
Always rooting for the outsider and underdog, or underhorse? Movie for your mood: Seabiscuit